Is the CRYPTO DIP COMING? Bitcoin and Ethereum Update

Boxmining avatar Boxmining
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Description

Latest Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency news and trends. We take a look at the key events affecting the blockchain sector and review market movements. Combining both fundamental analysis and technical analy...

AI Analysis

The crypto market has recently experienced a significant dip, with Bitcoin dropping 10-14% and Ethereum seeing even more aggressive declines, briefly touching around $1000. This volatility is attracting immense public attention, making the market highly unpredictable as many new retail investors enter without fully understanding the underlying dynamics. Despite the recent downturn, there are still strong bullish signals, and many experienced investors are actively buying the dip, emphasizing the importance of strategic planning and emotional control during these wild market swings.

Here's a breakdown of the key insights and discussions:

* Market Overview & Volatility: The past few weeks have been incredibly parabolic for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and many altcoins. The current state is extremely volatile due to high levels of uncertainty and hype, with mainstream media globally discussing crypto, drawing in a lot of retail investors who often don't know what they're doing. This creates a very unpredictable market, but bullish signals like active dip-buying are still present.
* Ethereum ($ETH) Technical Analysis & Funding Rates:
* Ethereum's recent price surge has been "rocket ship" parabolic, not a gradual climb, making it harder to find clear support levels.
* The market is currently trying to establish strong support for ETH, with a potential minor support around $1100. If that breaks, the next significant support could be around $700 or $900.
* ETH funding rates are extremely positive, meaning "longs" (bullish traders) are paying "shorts" (bearish traders) to maintain their positions. This indicates a disproportional number of bullish derivative traders who are looking for opportunities to buy the dip. The presenter finds this a strong signal that professional traders are very bullish.
* An interesting strategy leveraging positive funding rates is to go net-zero on ETH (hold ETH and short ETH simultaneously) to collect the payments from longs, essentially earning APY on stablecoins like USDC.
* Asian Market Sentiment: A noticeable shift in trend is occurring, where Asian markets are now more bullish. Previously, major dumps often happened when Asia was awake, and rallies occurred when Asia slept. Now, throughout the Asian afternoon, bears seem to lose momentum, and bulls step in, suggesting a change in regional market behavior.
* Crypto Investment Strategy & Emotional Control:
In a bull market, it's crucial to have a selling strategy and take profits, while bear markets are ideal for entering positions and accumulating. The presenter personally emphasizes dollar-cost averaging out* as the market goes up, a strategy that saved them in past cycles.
* The presenter, having accumulated since 2017-2019, faces the challenge of managing a significantly grown crypto portfolio, requiring more strategic and smart fund management.
* The narrative that institutional investors intentionally "shake out weak hands" before a surge is dismissed. Institutional players like Michael Saylor likely finished accumulating their desired positions long ago and are now publicly shilling their bags. They're already sitting on massive profits and are just riding the market out.
* Emotional control and setting positions/strategies beforehand are vital. The presenter avoids impulsive decisions during volatile times.
* The best time to accumulate Bitcoin is when no one is talking about it, and the market is "boring" and "depressed," like during the 2018-2019 bear market when Bitcoin was around $3,000.
* Personal exposure to crypto is a critical decision everyone must make for themselves. The presenter is "aggressively in this market" due to a long-term belief in its transformative power, which has paid off significantly since 2016-2020.
* A surprising personal anecdote from 2012 highlights a past mistake: mining Bitcoin when it was $10 and selling it all at $15 because they didn't understand the long-term value, emphasizing the importance of continued attention to the space.
* Bitcoin ($BTC) Technical Analysis & Corrections:
* Bitcoin also experienced a dip after hitting $40,000. Historically, previous resistance points can turn into support.
* Bitcoin is currently testing the $34,000 level as a potential support. If it dips lower, the next strong support could be around $30,000.
* The current 10-14% dips are not unprecedented; 2017 saw much more savage and prolonged corrections, often with quick, dramatic price swings (Bart Simpson patterns). These pullbacks are considered "absolutely important" for a healthy market.
* Understanding Leverage Positions & Liquidations:
* Huge dips in crypto often occur due to "liquidation events." When traders take on high leverage (e.g., 7x or more) and the market moves significantly against their "long" (bullish) position, their accounts don't have enough collateral, causing the exchange to automatically sell their position to cover losses.
* This forced selling creates a cascading effect, driving prices down further and liquidating more leveraged positions. This is why the presenter avoids high leverage, as even strong bullish conviction can lead to position loss during rapid, volatile moves. The recent ETH drop to near $1000 from $1300 was a massive liquidation event.
* External Factors & News Correlation:
The presenter doesn't always correlate dips with immediate negative news. Markets, especially after aggressive moves, often need to correct regardless of specific news headlines. Mainstream media often creates a narrative after* a dip to explain it.
* The idea of the US government "killing crypto" is dismissed, citing China's failed ban in 2017. Bitcoin's decentralized nature, with nodes on multiple continents and even satellites, makes it "almost impossible to kill" unless the entire internet is shut down.
* Political and economic instability (e.g., 20% of US dollars printed in 2020) highlights Bitcoin's value as a hedge against fiat currency concerns.
* Ethereum Gas Fees & Layer-2 Solutions:
* Ethereum transaction fees are "insane," reaching over $100 for a single Uniswap trade at 600 Gwei. This is a significant barrier for many users.
* This high cost underscores the urgent need for and the importance of Layer-2 scaling solutions like ZKSwap, which uses ZK-Rollups to allow for almost free and instant transactions. This new technology is expected to revolutionize Ethereum's usability once it goes live on mainnet.
* Actionable Takeaways:
* For those dealing with high network fees, FTX offers free withdrawals for all coins, which can save a lot of money, especially when moving crypto to spend it via services like Bitrefill. However, note that FTX requires KYC verification, which can take a few days.
* It's generally advisable to avoid sending Ethereum transactions during periods of extremely high gas fees unless absolutely necessary.
* Other Crypto News:
* Poolz, an incubation project, sold out quickly, highlighting strong demand in the decentralized launchpad space.
* E-Money is going live on Polkastarter, another successful launchpad.
* SushiSwap has an ambitious 2021 roadmap, attracting significant attention and discussion.
* China launched hardware wallets for its digital yuan (DCEP/E-CNY), a digital version of their fiat currency. A key question is whether this digital yuan will be able to bridge with crypto, which seems unlikely given its current custodial and censored nature.
* Community & Personal Reflections: The presenter values the community's support, especially during bear markets when view counts were low. They emphasize that while dips are stressful and emotionally challenging, they are a normal part of crypto, and maintaining emotional control is crucial. They also hint at an upcoming giveaway of a limited edition Bitcoin tram model, symbolizing the enduring nature of Bitcoin.

Transcript

Not a hoodie under it. Holy shit, it's cold today. It is extremely cold today. It's very, very cold. All right, looks like you're live. And click ready to start streaming. And we are ready to live stream. So welcome back, guys. It is Monday, the 11th today of January. Wow, this month's passing by. But it almost feels like a decade has passed since we last met, even though it was last Saturday. Today, we're going to talk a lot about what's happening on the markets because the markets did move qu...