Watch This If You Want To MAKE MONEY TRADING!

Welcome to Alpha Drop. My name is Ron. My name is Martin. And guys, if you want to be making money trading, this will be the most important, the most valuable video you'll ever learn from. And we're giving it away for free. Okay. I've back tested results. We've implemented this live and it is definitely possible to make money in trading. However, looking at the results, I'd say 90% of you might not be able to make it because do you actually have the time and the discipline to really go through? Hence why you need to trust the process. We'll get into the data and you'll realize that this is actually possible. All right. So this is how much you can be making each and every single trade. If you listen to Ron, what has to say, let's get into it. Okay. Just for a bit of context, right? Me, my go-to strategy when it comes to scalping and intra day trading is opening range breakout, where we basically look at the 15 minute chart. We go to BTC, ETH or SOL, anything that is traded on the CME exchange because large institution volumes comes from there and we want to play along with their momentum. So you mark out the 15 minute candle high and low, and that is our range for the day. Okay. Just for context. And if there's a breakout candle towards either side of the range, that is our bias for today. So for today, Asia session is live breakout. This is our breakout candle, body close above range high. So we're assuming it's bullish for today. So we take longs for the Asia session. Conversely, if we have the breakout candle body close below range low, we assume it's bearish for the day. So we take shorts for that day. Now I have back tested every single trading session since January one until yesterday, March 26. Okay. Now, if you look at the wins and loss, you'll notice that there are actually more losses than wins. It tallies us the win rate of 45.98%. Now you might be asking, Ron, 45.98%. That's like quite low. How do I make money from this? The key here, okay, really lies in your understanding of this cheat sheet. Okay. If you have 50% win rate, but you're only aiming for one, one R, you're break even. Anything below that, you're at a loss. So if we are only targeting one R for every session we trade with a 45.98% win rate, we lose. Okay. But if we aim a little bit higher, if we have one to two, even with a 45.98% win rate, you win. All right. You, your, your portfolio is up. And if you're targeting one three, you don't even need 45.98%. You just need 30% to be in profit. Okay. So if you don't believe me, look, I have manually done the calculation and let's say starting on January one, we only had $5,000 in our trading balance and we mark, we calculate for the wins and losses of each session, only risking 1%. And this is the key. I'm still shocked that some of you guys still commenting. Say Ron, I black, I got my, I got my account liquidated. I got blown out. My back got blown out. I'm like, you've been watching me already for months. How you still let that happen? The key to really making money is to protect yourself first. And this is why 90% of most people out there will not make it because they do not simply have the discipline to really stick to that rule. They let their emotions take over and the even, okay, even with 1% risk, you're still going to feel emotions. Why? Because you will come upon losing streaks. Look at this. All right. So the beginning of the month, good. We had wins, right? Win in a row. Ooh, feel like we can buy the whole world like Kanye, right? Then you come upon five losing streaks, one win in between. Then you have another five losing streaks. And this phenomenon has occurred multiple times here, mid January, five losing streak here, end of January, five losing streak, and then even more here, right here. Same as well, 10 losing streak with one win in between. But the only difference here is that if you focus on these and you're like, Oh no, I lose a lot of money. But if you're only risking 1%, you lose very little. Look, okay. You're going to even cross check this, the calculation yourself. We're only risking 1%. And for the wins, 1R, 2R, 3R, it's the risk amount times one for 1R. Risk amount times two for 2R. Risk amount times three for 3R. So we started with 5K on January 1, this backtest result. It is possible. Okay. Just sticking to the same rule and risking 1%. You can actually make 6K in profit until yesterday if you just stick to the same rule and trade the same session over and over again. Okay. This is definitely possible. Okay. If you're not shocked by this math, then you really don't understand how big of a deal this is. Okay. Uh, you've heard, you've heard, right. Risk 1%. How do we make a lot of money risking 1%? It's really letting time do its thing. Do you have the discipline to soldier on through the losing streaks, stick to the same rules and trade over and over again until you turn the profit? Because with compound effect, you can see your margin gets slightly bigger every subsequent trade and the potential profits that you can making that you can be making is significantly larger. And just for context, I only calculated 3R. There are sessions here where it's more than 3R. Okay. This is just 3R. If we're calculating more than 3R, this is potentially 15, 16,000, 17,000 and more. Okay. For some sessions, let's see this one on, on a, which day was this? January 7, London session. We had an 18.93 R. Let's look at it. January when again? January 7, 18.93 R. January 7, London session. Yeah. This one. Okay. Mark out here. Mark out here. And short the breakout candle. So it's here. Stop loss above the range high or just at the range high. 13.86 R. Okay. But still that is 13R. It's really high, right? So if you risk $50 here, you'd be making 50, 50 times 13.86. That's potentially 693. Okay. Now, before you go on and try this, a couple of things to note here, you really need to have the psychology to soldier through months and months to really see significant process with your portfolio. Just to show you this is possible. Yes, you can do so. I've done this already, right? And I'm trying it again with the Bybit account. And number two, I'd say the beginning momentum is very important to really compound your profits. Because here in the beginning, you can see we started off really strong. We had a solid winning streak. But I'd say if you start off with a losing streak early on, it really does take a toll on your psychology. But if you trust the math, it does go on further. And we got a special guest here, Michael Sir. So, so, so. I see you're shilling your trading strategy. Yeah, yeah, yeah. No, not shilling. It's more of showing them that it is possible to make money if you only stick to risk management and an entry model that you're familiar with and just let time do its thing. You can see... Hold on, did it take three? You didn't learn that? It took me two years to fully understand it. I think so. I think that's it. And I saw Ron working really hard on this because he's actually manually logging. And I think that's one part where it does help you think as well. I was like, why don't you use AI? Dude, we're in the age of AI and you're like typing this not like manually, right? Yeah. But it does make sense to actually do this by hand first and then kind of make sure everything works really well. So, I'm actually really impressed. I'm really impressed like how, I guess how resilient you are. Like it's not easy to really carry out something like this progressively. And it's like, it's one of those things you're like, oh yeah, I'll do it. And you know, you set up a trading strategy and then like three days later you're like, okay, fuck it. I can't be bothered to be updating this. So, you know, the fact that it's been going on for so long really shows you're really determined to really work it out mentally as well. And these are one of the first steps to achieving trading glory. You know, I don't want to throw too many compliments out. You know, I'm Chinese, okay? It doesn't work. Chinese people don't do this. But if the app dev is here, Michael, yeah. So, I actually want to see how I can make apps around this as well. I'm actually curious, you know, what you guys are interested in. Like how these trading strategies work. Because obviously this is definitely an avenue to make money. It's just a matter of like committing time to make sure it works. And I think that's my biggest weakness in the past where like I start a bunch of things. I'm like, okay, yeah, let's follow these AI algo trading bots. And then I forget about them. Like three days later, I'm like, yeah, whatever. You know, like make money whilst I sleep, right? And all money's gone. Right? You don't know how it works. It doesn't work, right? Yeah. I really need to go hardcore into this. So, anyways, that's my two cents. Exactly. That's why manual input is very important. If you look at the trading bots out there, they just give you certain parameters. But you don't exactly know what's going on behind the code. Yeah. But if you give it fixed parameters that you know what's going on. And then you build behind this. And just plop this. That's why I'm manually doing it. Exactly. Plop this into the bot. And you can see this is 100% ROI based on this year's performance. Oh, it's not bad. Hey, good job. Yeah, see? And I think that there's just two things to talk about. I mean, that's really good. It's good for you to understand why it works. And I think that's one of the biggest weaknesses of like a lot of these trading courses where they just, Oh, yeah, I just do this. You know, like they spent a long time just saying like they hype up the influence. Influencer aspect. Oh, you want a nice car. Oh, yeah. Fuck, yeah. You want to sit on this nice car. Oh, I have this like, oh, look, I look at this amazing drink. I'm filming. They hype up the lifestyle, right? But that's not the real trading lifestyle. The real trading lifestyle is boring. I just see Ron. Yeah. They're on a spread. It's gross work. They're like cooking. Look at my eyes. Yeah. It's painfully boring work. Yeah. I mean, the rewards are good, right? 100% ROI in a very short period of time. It's really, really exciting. So good job, man. Thank you. And then I think like, yeah, I think like the AI age is really great. I just had a few calls with my, you guys saw this on my phone. I just had a few calls with my bank. And then they're like, they're trying to sell me a bunch of useless products. And I'm just like. Are you interested in this? Are you interested in Colorball Snowball? Like Colorball, was it Colorball Snowball? No, coupon note. Oh, my God. That sounds scammy AF. And it's like deployed by Goldman Sachs. It's really legit. I mean, Goldman doesn't sound very legit to me either. And then I ran it through Grok. And it's just like, Grok's like, yeah, be careful of all these hidden clauses and hidden things on there. So, man, thank God for the age of AI. I just took a screenshot, showed my banker, hey, shut the fuck up. He's like, yeah, there's no risk. You know, Goldman Sachs, super legit. I'm like, yo, look at all these hidden risks here. I could give me. And then like, I was like. The AI pointed out. Yeah, the AI pointed out. The AI was like, yeah, you should ask for this, this, this, this, this. You know, like, wow. I'm like, cool. Game changer. Game changer. Game changer. Took a screenshot. We go, hey, hey, F off. All right, just like, let me stick with fixed deposit loan for now. Let me not do these crazy stuff. And I'm like, I'm asking AI, oh, can you guess how much commission the guy makes? Oh, shit, this guy's making like 0.6%. From here, he's making some money from here. Oh, shit, dude. Oh, my God, he's making a lot. I mean, insurance, right? You know why they sell insurance so aggressively? They make 60% on the first deposit that you make. They make 60%. That's like highway robbery. Only for the first one. Then they don't care. Then they don't care, right? So, guys, just be wise, be smart. But, yeah, trading courses. Check this up. And check what Ron says over with AI. This is the age of AI. Check that up. And also check out airdroplet.com. Yes, sir. I've been updating that, like, aggressively as well. Yes, sir. Airdroplet.com. Yeah. I realized that my monitoring things stopped working. And I was like, oh, no, what's going on a website? Oh, okay, go to analytics. It's messed up. Okay, I see why. Okay, I see it still hitting the database. I'm trying to make it look nicer, guys. It's coming. Video summary is updating right now. We're like two days behind, and I realized that. So we got the evil transcript engine up running. So it's like transcribing all the latest videos from everyone else. It's going to be great. Huge. Big, big, big. And I think I'm going to update this so it looks a little bit better. I still don't like how, like, it's not providing me. It's not hitting me with the information I need. What I really want is I just want to browse who is talking about what, and if it's even worth watching these videos. That's kind of like the main problem I'm trying to solve, right? Like, we're monitoring, like, 20 YouTube channels. There's no way you guys have that much time to watch everything. I just want to say, okay, here's the best intel that we got. You know, here's some actionable information. This, this airdrop is interesting. Let's go. That's LFG. Here's the best route for it. This guy actually has something interesting to say about it. All the other guys are talking trash, you know. I just want that, you know. Yeah. So, anyways, AI is coming, guys. Yes, sir. Peace out, guys. Thank you, sir. I hope I didn't disrupt the video too much. I want to make some training apps, too, so. Yeah, that'd be nice. That'd be nice. That's the next step, maybe. That's the next step. Oh, that's the next step. Okay. Oh, man. I'm married here, dude. What's up, Mary? How's it going? Hello, Anita Cho. Is there any, so, let's go back to the topic. Is there anything else that we're missing? Yes. Okay. So, just to show you that this is definitely possible, okay? Math is the most beautiful language in the world. It tells you this is possible to 2x in three months, but this is because of the performance of 2025, okay? And what I've learned also from forward testing orb strategy is that price action, the more I trade orb, I realize it doesn't matter if the market is bullish or bearish long-term. I just let time do its thing. If you have the balls to do this, and if, no, sorry. Let me rephrase that. If you have the mental fortitude, okay, to really go through an entire year, stick to the same rule, and only risk 1% per trade, and let time do its thing, you're going to win, okay? But I'd say the difficult part here, and to really turn in a profit even with 45% win rate, the hardest part here is to target for a 3R, right? 3R is very difficult to get in live situations. In hindsight, it's like, oh yeah, it's so obvious this is a short, right? But when you're doing it live, it's very, very different. Your emotion will still take over you even with 1% risk. And this is the part where I'm slightly, actually, still very weak at is my trail SLs. So I always protect my capital, and when the position is running, I trail my SL too early. And what happens is I don't give my trade room to breathe. So yes, I do make money, but I don't make the full potential. So case in point is when we traded SUSDT, right? Remember this one? I told you, was it this week? This Monday, right? That this shit was absolutely going to rip. Let's go back to the main template. Just using this as an example for trailing SLs. Where are my indicators? I think I remember this trade as well. Yes. I don't know what you're talking about. Yes. So about here, we had the rip, right? So at that time, I was like, oh shit, I got to trail SL here in case we do retest this area again. But I do know that that liquidity void on the four hour will want to get filled at some point in time. I just don't know when. But that emotional part of me takes over. It's like, oh fuck it, I'll just trail SL a little bit closer to the current price action. And then because you know how volatile price action can be, especially for alts, you will get hit, right? Money is money, but still, you do feel bad even when you win. This is the thing about trading. Do you have the mental fortitude to be happy with what you get? Are you the type of person that is grateful if the market gives you like, hey, it's the profit. Are you happy with, oh, I'll take whatever you get. Or you're like, no, I want full TP, right? This is the thing, even when you win, you are sad. This is why a lot of traders are pretty depressed, emotionless, even when they win. Because it's their personality. They want full profit. For them, I think, that's me. I feel like that's me. If I don't hit full TP, I trail somewhere here. I still make money, but I don't hit full TP, I get a bit upset. Because I approach this. Exactly. I think everyone sort of understands this a little bit. Losing in a trade is one thing, one emotional hurdle that you have to get through. But it's also the not feeling content when you make money. Because you know deep down you could have made more, right? So also taking profit is a skill in a way. When you're up, when you're technically already winning, it's just a matter of, okay, how much can I win here? And that's another battle as well that people don't talk about as much. Exactly. But yeah, man, totally get it. Right? Because when you set full TP, that's like a win for you. Yeah. Anything below that is still not a win for you. Even though you make money, but still. That's why. You know your TAs. You guys are smart. You already know an entry model that you like. Stick with it. And the key here is to really refine that entry model. So for me, the entry model is opening range strategy. I'm not saying that you should use opening range strategy. I'm saying is that if you have an entry model you like, backtest it. Okay? Find the exact parameters. Go through previous market data. As far as I'd say, I'd like it to be one year. So our sample size here is not that much yet. But it is the entire year of 2025. And it is showing us 45% win rate. I want to also go through 2024 results with opening range strategy to really determine the win rates for an entire year. Okay? Let's see what the total win rate would be for an entire year. If it's hovering around 40%, then just sticking to a 2R setup will still be profitable for you. Right? But if it's like at 30%, let's say if we find out that in 2024, the win rate is like less than 35%, then you really do need to aim for 3R. I see Brian Nunez here says, what is 1, 2, 3R? If you don't mind me asking. It's basically risk to reward ratio. It is the amount you're risking for how much you can potentially be getting. So for example, let's say we have a long for S. This is just an example. Right? So if you say you want to long on the retest of this key level here. So you have $1,000. You're only risking 1% of your $1,000. So you're risking $10. Right? So if the price action hits your stop loss, you lose $10. But the 1, 2, 3R is the potential rewards you can get. So if you only do 1R, that means you're risking $10 to make $10. If you're doing 2R, you're risking $10 to make $20. Right? It's just math. It's times 2. 3R is times 3. 4R is times 4. 5R is times 5. So if you're new to trading, I don't want you to think of like, oh, I want to 2X, 3X. I want you to think of how much can you make based on how much you're risking. With this approach, it will change your life. I swear to God. Okay? I swear to God. This will change your life. You guys are already smart. You know your technical analysis. The only hard part here is really the psychology. You may be seeing this on IG reels, right? Like really smart traders, top traders are saying, ah, the biggest enemy is yourself. Then you think, ah, that's cliche. I keep hearing this. This is the data that reflects that the biggest enemy is really yourself. Because there will be times here. And I've updated you guys on the orb strategies early this month, right? There were some days when you witnessed it, yourselves watching live. Some days you won. You're in a winning streak. Some days you're being brutally honest saying, hey, man, we've been losing. Yeah. Right? Right? And even with risking 1%, I go on full tilt. But that's because I was tunnel visioning on what's happening now. But if you take a look at what's been happening, you'll see your money has just been growing and growing. I realize, why am I angry? My portfolio is already up, right? It's just the losing part that really gets to you. So, if you don't have the mental fortitude to do this, I really suggest you do not do this. Don't do it at all. Okay? Mental health. You might be, you might screw yourself up. Yeah. Not financially, but like mentally. You won't be happy anymore. Yes. You're a masochist if you like this. I like pain, so I like this. Yeah, the truth is you can beat 99% of people without being smarter or luckier, but by being willing to endure all of this. All of this pain, all of this uncertainty. Yes. I agree with Martin here. That is true. You do not need to be smart to make money in trading. You just need to be willing to endure the pain and the uncertainty longer. Yes. And the concrete step for that is number one, okay? Risk 1%. Number two, pick an entry model you like. Exactly. Refine it, backtest it. Then once you're confident with your setup, trade. And number three, let time do its thing. Okay? If you, let time do its thing, but let's be a little bit more specific with let time do its thing, is if you notice that your win rate is low and you're only aiming for 1R, then you're at a loss. Then you need to tune in to where do you want to take profits. So you need to be practicing on identifying potential key levels that, oh, this level might get hit so you can set your TP there. Otherwise, if you don't see that it's possible for you to reach a 2 or 3R, you don't need to trade that day. Okay? So this data is possible because it's assuming that you're trading every single session every day. Right? The reality here is most realistically, you're only going to be trading one or two sessions. Because if you're going to be trading all three sessions every day, dude, are you going to sleep or what? Right? So for me, I'm only trading mostly Asia and London. I do like to trade New York, but that's usually the time when it's nighttime here in Hong Kong and we got to go to bed. But still, I look at the charts, but yeah, that's how it is. Okay? So that's the takeaway here. And also one more thing to note is from this data, it only assumes market orders. So it only assumes placing a market order on the breakout candle. Okay? So for example, this is our breakout candle here. The data only assumes that you are taking a long here. Okay? The better setup is to place your long at the retest of the breakout of the range. And this is also one factor I've added in the data is for the retest success. And the data indicates us that about 70% the retest does occur. But there's also reversal cases. And you know, the thing about when I was doing this manually is, and this is the thing that you can, the more valuable compared to using AI, is when you repeatedly do this over and over again, when you plot out the entry model every day, every session, you'll notice very similar behavior with how the price action occurs. So for the reversals, a lot of them are just deviations, then continuation to the original bias. So for example, let's find one actually. I remember January 21 was a key one. Deviation here. Okay. January 21, London. Let's go there. Okay. January 21, London. Here. Okay. Two sec. Okay. Two sec. All right. Okay. You can see we have breakout candle to the downside. So we assume it's bearish for the day, right? So you take short. But what happens is you get wicked out already the next 15 minutes. So this is a deviation already. This is confirmed deviation. Resume to the full reversal to the other side. Oh, sorry. This is the rare exception where it's deviation than full reversal. But usually what happens is, okay, let me find another one. This one occurred more often in March. That's what I noticed. Okay. This one. New York, March 17. Let's go to New York, March 17. But this is a rare exception where it's deviation, then full reversal to the other side. Right? Because this London session here assumed this is bearish. But what turns out for the rest of the session, it is that it is full bullish. Look at that. Right? So that occurs about 20% of the time for this year. But what happens more often is, when was that again? March 17. New York session. March. Hold on. 160. Okay. March 14, New York. March 14, New York. March 14, New York. March 14, New York. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Wait. Oh, this is also the same. Okay, wait. We need to find one. Deviation. Okay, sorry. Let me rephrase that. That phenomenon occurs 80% of the time. Okay. Let me refine this data a little bit more. But, okay. So, we'll have a part two of this. Where we explain more on how to refine our win rates here. But the key takeaway here for you guys, okay. If you really want to venture on into your trading journey and be successful one day is, uh, pick an entry model, risk 1%, and let time do its thing. Okay? Anything else to note here? Uh, yeah. Yeah, that's about it. That's about it, I would say. That's about it. All right. Oh, yes, yes. The key takeaway here, also one more thing, is if you, I know we said a lot of things. And if you understand what we said, that is actually a sign that you're going to be successful. I'm not even joking. If you don't understand, I suggest you need to learn the foundation, the basics first. And not just watch any trading guru. Not even just watch us. You stick to the basics. Literally reading academic papers. So, John J. Murphy. Read this one, okay. Just to understand the jargons and the psychology behind technical trading. Then once you have the basics, then you'll know how to do TA. You just pick an entry model that makes sense to you and just do it over and over and over again. Okay? Until you become good at it. It's really that simple. All right. Let's ask you some questions. A-A-A. A-A-A. A-A-A. Hope everyone's doing well. I see a bunch of people in the chat. Let's see. Yeah. Let us know where you guys are from. We're not all having a morning. Seems like some people are having their night time. They should be going to bed. So, GN or GM. Depending where you are in the world. Hope everyone's doing well. Anita Cho. What's up? AJ De Los Santos. It's almost the same as you. Expecting to know the winning numbers in the lottery. As long as I'm making profit, I'm happy. Expecting to always hit the max win. It's like trying to be superior. Yeah. Right? So, in hindsight, after looking at back test ring result, of course, the safest option is to go for 1R. However, if you only target 1R, but with 45.98% win rate, you are at a loss. So, you need to try at least weave in some 2 or 3Rs. That is really when the compounding effect starts kicking in. When I plotted these numbers, manually calculating them. Each and every one of them. I noticed, oh! With the 3R trades, especially if you get 2 3Rs in a row. Look at this one. 6-2. You have 6-6. Right? And then here. From 7-4. You got to 7-8. And then you have 7-3. You go to 7-7. Right? There's even more. I remember in March. Here. From 9-2 to 9-7. Right? So, really, with the strategy we have right now, we need to weave in some 2 to 3Rs in order to be profitable. And there are sessions where it's even higher, RR setup. This one. 18.73R as well. When was this? I remember this. That was a big win. This was March 14, London. The reversal. Back when everyone was panicking about 72K. March 14, London. March 14, London. Yeah, this one. Bam! Dude. This one went crazy. Holy. Insane. Alright? In hindsight, it's like, it's a big win. But in live situation, you don't know that it's going to hit. That you're going to get 18R. So, when this situation happens, that's when I trail my SL. But I think I need to learn how to be disciplined with trailing SL a little bit. Let it breathe sometimes. Let it breathe. Because when I say move stops to break even, that's actually the general rule. But what I do is I move it slightly up so that if it does come back down, I do make money. But most of the time, it comes back down to just that point. But never back towards my original entry. Then it just continued on. Bye-bye. Bye-bye, Ron. Yep. Full profit gone. Here's the $10. So, that's the part I'm weak at. And I'm trying to improve on that one. So, yeah. This just goes to show you don't really need to understand key levels in general. You just need to aim for 1R or 2R or 3R and just let time do its thing. Okay? If you want to be precise, that's when you need to learn key levels and technical analysis. And I know a lot of you already know technical analysis. You guys are already smart. Yo! Mr. Space Ripper, thanks for the donation. Thank you, bro. Thank you, man. I hope this is healthy, okay? Mr. Space Ripper, let us know if you guys are confused. We can explain more in the next live stream. But genuinely, this is my most passionate topic today because I've really compiled this data in a week, barely with any sleep, and also at the same time trading the current sessions. So, a lot to keep up on. So, we really apologize that we haven't been live streaming a lot these past days. We have so much going on. We got the AirDrop app, a lot of building, a lot of networking, a lot of meetings, and then doing all this at the side, too. And plus, Forgotten Runoverse is live right now. So, I want to make a little bit more time to play that game as well. Yeah. Have some downtime while we, you know, farm and chill and talk with you guys. Yeah. Yeah. It's been a while, huh? Mm-hmm. It's been a while since we had that community building sort of spirit. Yeah. Together. Yeah. We should do something like this soon. Maybe later. Who knows? We'll talk about some more AirDrops, though. That's for sure. Yeah, man. We really miss you guys, dude. And I know you guys have been busy, too. You guys have been grinding. Mm-hmm. So, huge, huge shout-out to you guys. Yeah. And you're going to make it. I noticed, I think, last week when we were really busy, it seemed like most people were tuned out of crypto as well. Mm-hmm. It seems like a lot of people were just touching grass. Yeah. So, you want to get back to farming AirDrop? Well, have fun at the same time. Play Forgotten Universe. Mm-hmm. All right? Global early access. The play-to-earn mechanics is here, where you can earn quanta. Okay. You guys know what to do. Smash up the like button. Subscribe to the channel. My name is Ron. Martin. Sean. And I...