(Monday) Crypto Markets BOUNCE back! Bitcoin is not dead.

Boxmining avatar Boxmining
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Description

Latest Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Cryptocurrency news and trends. We take a look at the key events affecting the blockchain sector and review market movements. Combining both fundamental analysis and tech...

AI Analysis

What a wild ride it's been in the crypto world! After a weekend that had many people panicking about Bitcoin and Ethereum crashing to oblivion, the market thankfully bounced back. It's been a stark reminder that crypto is incredibly volatile, but also that there's still a lot of potential growth ahead, especially with new institutional money flowing in and the continued evolution of decentralized finance.

Here's a breakdown of the key takeaways and insights:

* Market Bounce Back & Presenter's Optimism: Despite a scary weekend where Bitcoin briefly dipped below its $46,000 support and Ethereum saw a "Bart Simpson" like pattern (a sharp drop followed by a quick recovery), the markets have bounced back. Many people were messaging about Bitcoin going to $20,000, but that didn't happen. The presenter admits it took courage not to panic sell and emphasizes holding exposure in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and various altcoins. He believes we're still in the middle of this bull market, not the end.
* Bitcoin Rainbow Chart & Market Cycles: The Bitcoin rainbow chart, which shows Bitcoin's price on a log scale relative to its halving events, suggests there's still room to grow. In 2017, Bitcoin hit the "red hot" bubble territory before crashing. Currently, it's only in the "orange" zone at $45,000-$46,000. This indicates that hitting $100,000 or even $140,000 isn't unreasonable in the coming months, implying the market isn't at its peak yet. The current run-up has been one aggressive rally, and while dips are expected, they might not be as massive as those seen in 2017.
* Altcoin Season Potential: The altcoin index chart suggests that while we saw a DeFi wave in September, we're not yet at a full-blown altcoin season. With Bitcoin showing resilience, there's a potential for altcoins to have their run, which is exciting for those holding diverse portfolios.
* Theories Behind the Recent Dip:
* F2Pool Manipulation: One leading theory is that large mining pools like F2Pool intentionally moved Bitcoin to exchanges to signal a dump. Miners typically sell their Bitcoin via futures contracts before mining, so such large on-chain movements are often theatrical. This could be a deliberate attempt by whales to cause fear and manipulate the market downwards, potentially to buy in at lower prices.
* Market Recovery & Macro Factors: Another theory posits that as the global economy recovers (e.g., vaccine rollouts), money might shift out of "risk-on" assets like Bitcoin and back into traditional markets or the appreciating US dollar. While Bitcoin isn't fully decoupled from the stock market yet, this theory suggests that a broader market recovery could lead to some capital outflow from crypto.
* The Power of Decentralization: Robinhood vs. DeFi: The Robinhood scandal, where they suspended GameStop (GME) trading, starkly highlighted the dangers of centralized finance. Robinhood effectively protected their shareholders (like Citadel) at the expense of retail traders, facing a "laughable" $26 million fine. This incident powerfully demonstrates why decentralized exchanges (DEXs) are crucial. With DeFi and ERC-20 tokens, no central entity can shut down trading or freeze assets, offering a more robust and manipulation-resistant platform.
* DeFi's Experimental Nature & Technical Debt:
* Furucombo Hack: The recent Furucombo hack, which saw $14 million stolen, exposed a major vulnerability in DeFi: the "approval function." When you use a DEX like Uniswap, you "approve" a contract to spend your tokens. If that contract is compromised or malicious, as in Furucombo's case, it can withdraw all your approved funds. The presenter uses the analogy of approving an "Amazon delivery guy" to enter your house, but if a hacker hijacks Amazon, they can steal everything.
* Honeyswap Rug Pull: This yield farm on Binance Smart Chain also demonstrated a sneaky exploit: the developers pre-approved an "attack contract" to move users' funds, even before users deposited anything. This was a very sophisticated form of outright theft, highlighting the hidden dangers.
* ERC-20 Approval as "Technical Debt": This persistent vulnerability with the ERC-20 approval function is seen as "technical debt." It's a design flaw that needs to be fixed long-term, possibly with significant cost or redesign.
* Actionable Takeaway - Removing Approvals: If you've used many DeFi protocols, you might have numerous contracts approved to spend your tokens. To remove these approvals, you can either revoke each one (which costs gas) or, for ultimate security or if you have many approvals, "migrate your funds" to a new Ethereum address. This is like moving to a new house with a fresh security system where no one has pre-approved access.
* Yield Farming Risks: Yield farming remains extremely dangerous, especially on Binance Smart Chain (BSC) due to numerous rug pulls and un-audited projects. The presenter's strategy is to deposit "spare coins" he already holds to earn free rewards (like a "free buffet") rather than buying the farm's native token (e.g., $EGG, $VIKING, $TACO), which carries significant price volatility risk. He warns that high APYs often come with high deposit fees or expose you to the farm token's price fluctuations. For example, Pancake Bunny is reducing its bunny rewards by 50%, requiring users to withdraw and restake rewards within 19 hours to avoid halving their accumulated earnings.
* On-Chain Activity & "Never Sell" Mentality: The significant on-chain stablecoin volume (over $360 billion in February) indicates very high activity and growing adoption. The concept of "never selling" Bitcoin (as seen in a Reddit post about someone who sold 50 BTC at $108 and ended up in credit card debt) is discussed. While hindsight is 20/20, the presenter emphasizes managing personal finances and risk. Buying with credit card debt is highly irresponsible as it forces emotional decisions. The presenter personally secured enough fiat reserves to never be forced to sell crypto to pay rent, highlighting the importance of personal financial planning over absolute "hodling."
* Tribalism in Crypto: The crypto community often exhibits tribalism, with strong loyalties to specific coins (e.g., Ethereum maximalists vs. ADA fans vs. BSC users). This can lead to negativity and "bashing" other projects. The presenter admits to being guilty of this but is actively trying to be more supportive and less tribal, acknowledging that everyone is trying to make money and that different projects serve different needs. He criticizes highly offensive projects created purely to discredit other communities.
* Current Focus & Hype Markets: The focus is shifting to altcoins, including projects like TrustSwap (launchpad), Sifchain (Cosmos-based DEX), and Chain Guardians (NFT/gaming). The ZK Swap incident, where the token price pumped due to hype before an airdrop and then crashed, serves as a cautionary tale about speculation overshadowing fundamentals. The presenter reflects on how crypto markets are increasingly hype-driven, acknowledging it as human nature rather than something to fight against, and now approaches new projects with less overt excitement to avoid contributing to excessive hype.
* Dangers of Margin Trading: Margin trading is extremely dangerous due to crypto's volatility. A participant shared losing 70% of their portfolio on margin, highlighting that even if you're long-term bullish, a brief market drop can lead to complete liquidation of your position. The presenter has previously done members-only videos explaining the complex mechanics of funding fees and perpetual futures, emphasizing the need for deep understanding before engaging in leverage.

In essence, the crypto market is maturing with institutional adoption and growing activity, but it's still a wild west, especially in the DeFi space, where innovation comes with significant technical risks and frequent hacks. Personal risk management, understanding market psychology, and adapting to hype-driven trends are crucial for navigating this dynamic environment.

Transcript

the live live stream button so we're just waiting a few seconds for the stream to go live and youtube says we are live welcome back guys to another episode of box mining here today is actually the first of march here in hong kong it is bright and early in the morning it's 11 a.m but you know we had a crazy journey over the weekend with bitcoin prices like looking like they were about to collapse there were so many people freaking out on the weekend just messaging me you know do you think bitcoi...