ALTS Will be SO BULLISH if this HAPPENS!
Description
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AI Analysis
Alright, so buckle up! The crypto market, especially altcoins, could be heading for a seriously bullish phase for the rest of the year, but it all hinges on Bitcoin doing one crucial thing. After a rough 45-day patch that felt like "hell" for traders and altcoin holders, prices have staged a strong comeback, and the big question now is whether this recovery can hold key levels to unlock "heaven."
Here’s the breakdown of what’s going on and what to watch out for:
Bitcoin (BTC): The Linchpin for Altcoin Season
- The Big Picture: We're definitely in a bull market, and despite a recent nasty dip, the outlook is positive if BTC can maintain its strength.
- Goodbye Old Range: The previous significant price zone for BTC (low $78k, mid $87k, high $95k) is no longer the focus. Why? Because BTC smashed through the top of that range with a strong weekly candle close – think a "2 liter coke bottle" of a candle body, showing real buying power and no major selling pressure (no big wick at the top).
- Hello New Range: The current focus is on the monthly price range, specifically looking back at the January candle when the market was super bullish and making sense. This new important range has its low at $93,000 and its high at $102,000.
- The "Hell" We Just Escaped: The last 45 days were brutal. Prices took a U-turn downwards, which was tough, especially if you were holding altcoins. This period is described as a "deviation" or a "swing failure pattern" – basically, a fake-out.
- Back to "Earth", Aiming for "Heaven":
- Imagine the price action: January/February saw good, strong candles, mostly above the $90,000 level.
- Then March/April brought the downturn – that was "hell."
- Now, we've climbed back up to the previous levels – we're back on "Earth."
- The big question: Can we reach "heaven" (even higher prices)?
- The Magic Number: $93,000: This is the line BTC needs to defend. Think of it as the new support level.
- If BTC closes the month of May above $93,000, it's extremely bullish.
- An even better sign? A monthly close above $100,000.
- What Happens if $93k Holds?
- Get ready for a "super, super bullish" period from June to September, maybe even stretching to New Year's 2025.
- This could trigger a massive altcoin season, meaning your altcoin bags could go "parabolic."
- Ron's personal take: He's "so excited" for this month's close. He feels the market isn't overextended and that the recent dip was just a large shakeout (swing failure pattern).
- Déjà Vu: This situation is very similar to what happened last year. In August, the market dipped hard (down to $49k for BTC) due to things like the Japan carry trade and geopolitical events. People got scared. But then, the following month, prices reclaimed the lost ground. This year's dip and recovery are mirroring that pattern.
- Profit-Taking Cycle: We're still in an uptrend. According to Betabot Anita Cho, the Bitcoin halving cycle has an "80-week profit-taking part," and we're still in the middle of that. So, there's more room to run.
- The Whiteboard Wisdom: The presenters used a whiteboard to illustrate this pattern: initial consolidation, a manipulative sell-off (the "deviation" or "hell"), and then a reclaim of the important level. This is a key pattern to remember for future bull markets. If price reclaims the level after a dip, it’s very bullish.
Ethereum (ETH): Looking Strong and Ready
- ETH's Strength: Ethereum is also looking "really, really strong."
- Key Pattern: On the monthly chart, ETH is showing a classic "OB" (Order Block) formation. An Order Block is an area where a lot of buying or selling happened, often acting as future support or resistance.
- The Bullish Signal for ETH: If ETH has a green monthly candle close above $2,155, it's a very positive sign.
- New ETH Range (if the signal hits): If ETH closes above $2,155, the old range is out. We'd then look at a previous range with $4,000 as resistance, $2,900 as the mid-point, and $2,155 as the new range low (support).
- Ron's Vibe: "Looking really really good" for ETH.
Solana (SOL): Potential for "Sexy AF" Gains
- Current Price Check: Solana was around $174 at the time of recording.
- Expert Opinion (Trader SZ): A trader named SZ thinks Solana could hit $500 this cycle.
- Ron's Take: Ron is even more bullish, suggesting SOL could reach $600-$700. He thinks $500 is a "reasonable run."
- Trader SZ's Logic: He used a 200% price extension (a Fibonacci-based tool to project targets) on Solana's chart. This pointed to potential new all-time highs at $389 and $516.
- Solana's Similar Story: Solana's chart shows a pattern very much like Bitcoin's (and the whiteboard drawing):
- It had a previous all-time high around $300.
- Then, a massive sell-off (the "hell" or "deviation") took it down to $91-$92.
- Now, it has quickly recovered to around $175.
- SOL's Price Magnet: If Solana successfully defends its current support area (the reclaimed level after the "hell" period), the $259 level could act as a "magnet," drawing the price upwards.
- The Exciting Part: If this plays out, we could be talking about new all-time highs for Solana, which Ron describes as "sexy AF."
- Overall Market Feel: The market is behaving normally now after a couple of months of "manipulation" and "noise." As the noise dies down, things get back to usual. Ron is "very very happy" with how the market is performing.
Key Takeaways & Market Wisdom
- Don't Fear Dips in an Uptrend: Just because the market starts taking off doesn't mean it's immediately "overextended." Huge sell-offs during an uptrend can often be these "deviations" or "swing failure patterns" caused by market manipulation.
- The Reclaim is Key: The most bullish sign after such a deviation is when the price comes back and reclaims the original consolidated level. If we get a monthly close for BTC above $93,000, that's a massive confirmation.
- Learn the Pattern: The "consolidation -> deviation -> reclaim" pattern is a valuable one to recognize in bull markets to avoid getting shaken out.
- What to Watch:
- BTC's monthly close: Needs to be above $93,000 (ideally >$100k).
- ETH's monthly close: Look for it to be green and above $2,155.
- SOL: Watch if it holds current levels; $259 is the next target if it does.
- Keep an Eye Out: The presenters mentioned they've been busy with AI automation and coding but will be back with more airdrop content soon. So, keep farming those airdrops!
Transcript
Alright we're live! Boys welcome back to Alpha Drop my name is Ron. My name is Martin. And today we're gonna be looking at altcoins because they're gonna be so bullish for the rest of this year if BTC does this. We got the drawing board here because this will be a good reference for you to remember when next time we come upon this situation in a bull market because we are in a bull market. Okay hope your bags are up. Happy Monday. Happy Monday. Let's go. We'll go back to this one okay but first...