Crypto in 2026: Why This Year Could Get Wild
Every year in crypto feels like a rollercoaster, but 2026 is shaping up to be something different entirely. Between Bitcoin dominance staying elevated, privacy coins surging, and altcoin season slowly brewing, there are a lot of moving pieces right now. In this video, I break down the key trends I’m watching and why I think 2026 could be one of the craziest years we’ve seen in a while.
Bitcoin Dominance and the Slow Rotation
One of the biggest themes right now is Bitcoin dominance. BTC has been the main focus for institutional money, and that trend isn’t going away anytime soon. According to CoinDCX’s 2026 outlook, Bitcoin’s dominance is expected to remain elevated through much of the year, especially during periods of macro uncertainty. Ethereum is trading above $3,000 but has seen institutional profit-taking at key technical levels.
What’s interesting is the rotation pattern we’re seeing. It starts with Bitcoin, moves to Ethereum, then into specific narratives like privacy coins, and eventually flows into the broader altcoin market. This rotation takes time, and we’re still in the early stages. Until public confidence fully returns and retail investors start paying attention again, altcoins won’t see the explosive moves that people are hoping for.
Privacy Coins: The Unexpected Narrative of 2026
One trend that’s really caught my attention is the surge in privacy-focused tokens. According to Galaxy Research’s bold predictions for 2026, the combined market cap of privacy tokens could exceed $100 billion by year-end. Zcash alone rallied roughly 800% in late 2025 as on-chain privacy became a top priority for investors parking more money on-chain.
This makes sense when you think about it. As crypto wealth grows and more assets move on-chain, the need for financial privacy becomes critical. Nobody wants their entire portfolio visible to the world — especially as physical security threats against crypto holders continue to rise. Privacy isn’t just a nice-to-have anymore; it’s becoming essential infrastructure.
The Trading Community Edge
Something I’ve been building out is our Box Trades community on Discord, and the results have been pretty impressive. We’ve been tracking trades transparently, and the sheet shows consistent positive returns across the board. Having a community where you can share ideas, compare signals, and stay accountable makes a huge difference — especially in a market this volatile.
The key insight from our trading group is that momentum matters. When you can identify sector rotations early — like the privacy coin narrative — and position accordingly, the gains compound quickly. We’re also seeing interesting opportunities in AI-crypto crossover projects, which Trakx’s 2026 outlook highlights as one of the biggest themes of the year.
Breaking the Four-Year Cycle
Perhaps the most bullish prediction floating around is that Bitcoin will break the traditional four-year cycle entirely. Bitwise Investments predicts that Bitcoin will set new all-time highs in 2026, defying the historical pattern of post-halving peaks followed by multi-year bear markets. The reasoning is straightforward: institutional adoption through ETFs, sovereign Bitcoin reserves, and the sheer volume of capital now flowing into the space have fundamentally changed the market structure.
On January 1, 2026, over $2.2 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expired, with Bitcoin dominating at $1.87 billion in notional value near the $88,000 max pain level. According to Coinpedia’s research, this options activity signals that large players are positioning for continued upside rather than hedging for a crash.
What I’m Watching Closely
My biggest indicator for when altcoin season truly arrives? Google search trends. When the general public starts searching for crypto again — not just Bitcoin, but altcoins, DeFi, and NFTs — that’s when the real fireworks begin. Until then, I’m focused on accumulating quality positions during this rotation phase and staying patient.
The setup for 2026 is genuinely exciting. We have macro tailwinds, institutional infrastructure that didn’t exist in previous cycles, and narratives like privacy and AI-crypto that are attracting fresh capital. If you’re in the space right now, you’re early for what could be one of the most significant years in crypto history. Stay sharp, do your research, and don’t let short-term noise shake you out of long-term positions.
Michael Gu
Michael Gu, Creator of Boxmining, stared in the Blockchain space as a Bitcoin miner in 2012. Something he immediately noticed was that accurate information is hard to come by in this space. He started Boxmining in 2017 mainly as a passion project, to educate people on digital assets and share his experiences. Being based in Asia, Michael also found a huge discrepancy between digital asset trends and knowledge gap in the West and China.